Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.020132 0.021755 0.023447 0.025343 0.027410 0.029597 0.032088
2025-10-05 0.017376 0.019691 0.022234 0.025238 0.028699 0.032568 0.037232
2025-10-12 0.015690 0.018421 0.021540 0.025375 0.029981 0.035353 0.042123
2025-10-19 0.014407 0.017405 0.020937 0.025425 0.031003 0.037741 0.046551
2025-10-26 0.013351 0.016525 0.020368 0.025388 0.031814 0.039817 0.050623
2025-11-02 0.012480 0.015781 0.019873 0.025353 0.032556 0.041775 0.054590
2025-11-09 0.011564 0.014902 0.019126 0.024910 0.032693 0.042902 0.057470
2025-11-16 0.010765 0.014112 0.018429 0.024461 0.032756 0.043885 0.060157
2025-11-23 0.010195 0.013583 0.018034 0.024372 0.033269 0.045469 0.063727
2025-11-30 0.009647 0.013047 0.017588 0.024172 0.033594 0.046778 0.066949
2025-12-07 0.009175 0.012586 0.017214 0.024038 0.033984 0.048173 0.070346
2025-12-14 0.008714 0.012112 0.016792 0.023802 0.034199 0.049304 0.073387
2025-12-21 0.008339 0.011756 0.016538 0.023826 0.034837 0.051157 0.077753
2025-12-28 0.007950 0.011362 0.016212 0.023725 0.035285 0.052756 0.081844
2026-01-04 0.007658 0.011093 0.016048 0.023852 0.036078 0.054914 0.086951
2026-01-11 0.007367 0.010808 0.015844 0.023899 0.036736 0.056884 0.091864
2026-01-18 0.007077 0.010508 0.015599 0.023863 0.037253 0.058642 0.096520
2026-01-25 0.006809 0.010228 0.015367 0.023831 0.037763 0.060404 0.101280
2026-02-01 0.006468 0.009818 0.014915 0.023417 0.037618 0.061063 0.104146
2026-02-08 0.006149 0.009428 0.014474 0.022998 0.037435 0.061635 0.106876
2026-02-15 0.005926 0.009180 0.014246 0.022915 0.037809 0.063167 0.111426
2026-02-22 0.005695 0.008908 0.013967 0.022728 0.037989 0.064366 0.115425
2026-03-01 0.005491 0.008671 0.013731 0.022603 0.038265 0.065738 0.119827